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The Majority Leader in Parliament, Alexander Afenyo-Markin, stressed the importance of not dismissing findings from Global Info Analytics.

He highlighted that, even if the data is unfavorable to his party, it remains a valuable tool for strategizing effectively for the upcoming election.

Speaking on Yen Nsempa on Onua FM, July 3, Afenyo-Markin attributed his political success over the years to data and warned that ignoring research findings would be detrimental to any politician.

This discussion comes amid questions about whether the NPP can “Break the Eight” by securing a third successive term.

According to the poll, around 70 percent of voters believe the NPP cannot win the 2024 election, while 19 percent think the party can, and 10 percent have no opinion.

Additionally, approximately 46 percent of NPP voters doubt their party’s chances in 2024, compared to 43 percent who are confident of victory.

The latest poll by Global InfoAnalytics shows a tightening 2024 presidential race amid Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s nationwide tour. Bawumia has reduced John Dramani Mahama’s lead by approximately 3% compared to the April 2024 poll.

Mahama now leads Bawumia 51.1% to 38.2%, followed by Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen at 5.3%, Nana Kwame Bediako at 4.6%, and others at 0.8%.

In a potential runoff scenario, Mahama stands at 52%, Bawumia at 42%, with 6% of voters undecided, suggesting the poll is unlikely to lead to a runoff.

Notably, Nana Kwame Bediako is making significant gains in the Central, Ashanti, Eastern, and Volta regions, leading in the Abura Asebu Kwamankese and Kade constituencies.

The Central region shows a dramatic shift, with Mahama dropping from 51% in April to 39% in July, and Bawumia declining from 45% to 30%. Kyerematen and Bediako, now tied for third and fourth place, each hold 13% of the vote.

Bawumia, however, recorded significant gains in the Ashanti region, now attracting 66% of the vote, up from 54% in April, while Mahama fell from 31% to 22%.
Among first-time voters, Mahama and Bawumia are tied at 41% each, with Kyerematen at 8% and Bediako at 9%.

Overall, 4.2% of voters are undecided, and 5% said they will not vote. Among the undecided voters, 22% are from Greater Accra, 16% from Ashanti, 12% from Western, and 11% from Eastern regions.

Of those who will not vote, 19% are from Greater Accra, 22% from Ashanti, 17% from Eastern, and 13% from Western regions.

Regarding the country’s direction, 63% of voters believe Ghana is headed in the wrong direction, while 27% think it is on the right path. Additionally, 47% of voters feel their standard of living has worsened compared to a year ago, 21% say it has improved, 27% say it has not changed, and 5% have no opinion.

President Nana Akufo Addo’s performance has a 60% disapproval rate, with 35% approval and 6% having no opinion. Public confidence in the Ghana Police Service and Electoral Commission has declined, with confidence in the police dropping from 64% in April to 58% in July and confidence in the Electoral Commission decreasing from 59% to 53%.

Regarding the government’s “One student, One Tablet” policy, 55% of voters support it, but 58% say it will not influence their vote, 29% say it will, and 13% are indifferent.

Projects being undertaken just in time for the elections are unlikely to influence voters, with 56% saying it will not affect their vote, 29% saying it will, and 15% indifferent.

When asked about accepting inducements or bribes to switch their votes, only 7% said they would accept and vote for the candidate.

The economy, jobs, and education remain the three most pressing issues influencing voters’ decisions, with the economy at 73%, jobs at 69%, and education at 50%.

Afenyo-Markin called on all politicians to take data from research seriously and to strategize based on it, rather than becoming complacent if the data appears favorable.

By Daakyehene Nana Yaw Asante