John Dramani Mahama, flag bearer of the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is losing some of his votes to Nana Kwame Bediako of the New Force, a June survey conducted by research firm, Global InfoAnalytics, has conveyed.
According to the report, whilst Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia of the New Patriotic Party is gaining some of the support among fanatics of the NPP from Alan Kyerematen’s camp, those who declared support for the NDC’s John Dramani Mahama are now shifting their support to Nana Kwame Bediako.
Speaking on Onua FM’s morning show, Yen Nsempa Wednesday, July 03, 2024, Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Musah Dankwa, told host, Nana Yaa Brefo Danso, that whilst Alan Kyerematen’s 5% deficit amongst NPP supporters went to Dr. Bawumia, Nana Kwame Bediako made gains by the loss recorded by John Dramani Mahama.
“Most of Bawumia’s gains are largely from Alan Kyerematen and not Mahama. Because Alan used to have 7% support among NPP supporters but has been reduced to 2% and Bawumia had 83% among NPP which has risen to 88% and that was really driving Bawumia’s improvement.
“But Mahama’s votes lost went to Nana Kwame Bediako. So Mahama is trading votes with Nana Kwame Bediako and Alan is trading votes with Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia,” he stated.
In his explanation, he said “the reason Mahama lost grounds to Nana Kwame Bediako is that, those who supported the smaller parties have channeled their support to Bediako. Initially they were tilting towards Mahama to some extent. Most of those who didn’t want to disclose their parties are NPP people who don’t want to disclose their affiliation and Mahama lost hugely amongst them. They didn’t go to Bawumia but Bediako.”
According to the poll, around 70 per cent of voters believe the NPP cannot win the 2024 election, while 19 per cent think the party can, with 10 per cent sharing no opinion.
Additionally, approximately 46 per cent of NPP voters doubt their party’s chances in 2024, compared to 43 per cent who are confident of victory.
The latest poll by Global InfoAnalytics shows a tightening 2024 presidential race amid Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia’s nationwide tour. Bawumia has reduced John Dramani Mahama’s lead by approximately 3% compared to the April 2024 poll.
Mahama now leads Bawumia 51.1% to 38.2%, followed by Alan Kwadwo Kyerematen at 5.3%, Nana Kwame Bediako at 4.6%, and others at 0.8%.
In a potential runoff scenario, Mahama stands at 52%, Bawumia at 42%, with 6% of voters undecided, suggesting the poll is unlikely to lead to a runoff.
Notably, Nana Kwame Bediako is making significant gains in the Central, Ashanti, Eastern, and Volta regions, leading in the Abura Asebu Kwamankese and Kade constituencies.
The Central region shows a dramatic shift, with Mahama dropping from 51% in April to 39% in July, and Bawumia declining from 45% to 30%. Kyerematen and Bediako, now tied for third and fourth place, each hold 13% of the vote.
Bawumia, however, recorded significant gains in the Ashanti region, now attracting 66% of the vote, up from 54% in April, while Mahama fell from 31% to 22%.
Among first-time voters, Mahama and Bawumia are tied at 41% each, with Kyerematen at 8% and Bediako at 9%.
Overall, 4.2% of voters are undecided, and 5% said they will not vote. Among the undecided voters, 22% are from Greater Accra, 16% from Ashanti, 12% from Western, and 11% from Eastern regions.
Of those who will not vote, 19% are from Greater Accra, 22% from Ashanti, 17% from Eastern, and 13% from Western regions.
Regarding the country’s direction, 63% of voters believe Ghana is headed in the wrong direction, while 27% think it is on the right path. Additionally, 47% of voters feel their standard of living has worsened compared to a year ago, 21% say it has improved, 27% say it has not changed, and 5% have no opinion.
President Akufo Addo’s performance has a 60% disapproval rate, with 35% approval and 6% having no opinion. Public confidence in the Ghana Police Service and Electoral Commission has declined, with confidence in the police dropping from 64% in April to 58% in July and confidence in the Electoral Commission decreasing from 59% to 53%.
Regarding the government’s “One student, One Tablet” policy, 55% of voters support it, but 58% say it will not influence their vote, 29% say it will, and 13% are indifferent.
Projects being undertaken just in time for the elections are unlikely to influence voters, with 56% saying it will not affect their vote, 29% saying it will, and 15% indifferent.
When asked about accepting inducements or bribes to switch their votes, only 7% said they would accept and vote for the candidate.
The economy, jobs, and education remain the three most pressing issues influencing voters’ decisions, with the economy at 73%, jobs at 69%, and education at 50%.
Generally, the poll says Dr. Bawumia is gaining significant support among first-time voters.
Global InfoAnalytics survey: Let’s welcome poll and draw lessons from it – NPP MP urges party
